There are times where we will need to decide how to move forward and we won’t possibly have all of the facts. To not decide at all is generally the poorest decision. To be overly bold in speculation may be more risk than we might tolerate. As with most things, there is a balance. A balance to set a course to learn and apply from as your decision.
Between speculation and empirical facts, there is the most feasible and rational path to start on. This path is simply the initial investment on our part to find the better way. Should progress be made in our discovery, we would add to the investment and move forward. Should progress not be made, we would realign from the experience and proceed again with a new first step.
The key is that we not merely stand still, but rather balance our course to learn the better way through our experiences. We learn by investing in “doing” amid the balance of speculation and absolute certainty.
“The strongest arguments prove nothing so long as the conclusions are not verified by experience. Experimental science is the queen of sciences and the goal of all speculation.” — Roger Bacon —